Agentic Bets
5 min prediction markets for Bankr ecosystem tokens.
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Agentic Tokens
How it works
Pick a token
Browse Agentic ecosystem tokens and create prediction markets
Bet UP or DOWN
Predict price direction in 5-minute betting windows
Anyone settles
Settle rounds on-chain and earn 0.1% reward
Collect winnings
Winners split the pool. Creators earn 0.5% forever
Uniswap V4 pool activity drives the market
Agentic Bets reads price directly from the linked Uniswap V4 pool. That keeps settlement on-chain, but it also means market quality depends on real liquidity and real trading activity.
Direct Uniswap V4 pricing
Every lock price and close price is read on-chain from the linked Uniswap V4 pool. There is no off-chain oracle fallback.
Pool activity matters
Rounds depend on the underlying pool state. If the pool sees little trading between lock and close, the price may finish flat.
Liquidity guardrails
Markets require a valid initialized V4 pool, can enforce minimum liquidity, and can cancel rounds if price moves are too extreme.
Practical impact
- A valid initialized V4 pool is required to create and price a market.
- Thin pools can finish flat more often, which means more rounds end in a refund.
- Safety checks can cancel rounds when price movement looks too extreme for a healthy market.
Important edge cases, explained clearly
These are the cases users usually get confused by: tie handling, refunds, claim previews, and how much the app depends on the underlying pool.
01Does creating a market start round 1?
Does creating a market start round 1?
No. Creating a market only registers the token and pool. The first round starts when the first bet is placed.
02How do ties work?
How do ties work?
If the close price equals the lock price, the round is cancelled and both sides get a full refund. No fees are taken on tied rounds.
03What is the live tie mode right now?
What is the live tie mode right now?
The current Base deployment uses Refund mode. A flat price means both bulls and bears get their full stake back.
04When do both sides get refunded?
When do both sides get refunded?
Both sides are refunded whenever a round is cancelled. That includes ties (flat price), expired rounds that were never settled, no-winner rounds, and rounds cancelled by safety checks (e.g. extreme price movement).
05Why does Rabby show the market token as the receiver on claim?
Why does Rabby show the market token as the receiver on claim?
That preview is misleading. The claim call takes the market token address as its first argument, and Rabby appears to label that generic address field as Receiver. The actual USDC payout is sent by the contract to msg.sender, which is the connected wallet claiming.
06Do markets depend on real pool activity?
Do markets depend on real pool activity?
Yes. Prices come straight from Uniswap V4 pool state. If liquidity is weak or trading is inactive, price discovery is weaker and flat finishes become more likely.